The YouGov poll in the Sunday Times gave the Conservatives a 16 point lead (44: 28), but what is masked by the headline figures are the following mouthwatering (or mouthdrying if you are Labour) statistics on the Tory lead:
· 13 point lead amongst men (42 : 29)
· TWENTY point lead amongst women (47 : 27)
· 5 points ahead amongst 35-54 (39 : 34)
· TWENTY-EIGHT amongst 55 + (50 : 22)
· FIFTEEN point lead amongst 18-34 year olds (43 : 28), who will be most affected by the credit crunch
· 20 point lead amongst ABC1 (46 : 26)
· ELEVEN point lead amongst C2DE (41 : 30) – proving Labour isn’t the party of the working class any more
· 17 point lead in London (48 : 31),
· TWENTY-NINE (52 : 23) in rest of South
· TWENTY-NINE (50 : 21) in Midlands & Wales
· And LEVEL PEGGING in the Labour Heartlands of the North, which will be pretty badly affected by the housing market problems (as is the Midlands).
· Scotland is the only place where Labour is ahead of the Conservatives, by 15 points (20 : 35) but the other parties (mostly SNP) are not far behind Labour on 31. Tactical voting in Scotland anyone ? (SNP voting Tory in Lab/Con marginals; Tories voting SNP in Lab/SNP marginals?)
It just can’t get any worse for Brown …?
But it will J
Posted by Mountjoy 1.46pm







16 April, 2008 at 7:52 pm
Thanks for this interesting supplementary detail.